CEC Market Watch 6/24/2025

🌾 Today’s Market News – What You Should Know

Ceasefire Update:

After nearly two weeks of rising tension, President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The truce came after U.S. airstrikes hit Iran’s nuclear sites and Iran responded by attacking Qatar. While the ceasefire brought some relief to oil markets, it’s still a fragile peace. Israel claims Iran fired more missiles after the agreement, which Iran denies. Israel then launched another round of strikes on Tehran. This back-and-forth caused oil prices to swing dramatically—up and down by as much as $10 a barrel. Prices dropped over 3.5% after the truce, giving some breathing room at the pump, but uncertainty in the Middle East still keeps markets on edge, especially with the Strait of Hormuz—through which 20% of global oil flows—still at risk.


🛢️ Rig Count: What It Means for Future Oil Supply

The number of active U.S. oil rigs dropped for the 8th straight week, down to 438. That’s 47 fewer rigs than this time last year. Even with oil prices rising recently, many U.S. producers are holding off on new drilling. Canada, on the other hand, is seeing a small increase in drilling activity.
Why does this matter? Rig counts give us a peek into what oil production might look like in the near future. If fewer rigs are running, we may see less oil being pumped down the road—even as global tensions push prices higher.


💬 “Drill, Baby, Drill” – Trump Calls for More U.S. Oil Production

President Trump took to social media to call for more American drilling, saying that high oil prices benefit our enemies. His message: let’s pump more at home and keep prices in check. While the Energy Department doesn’t control private drilling, the message is clear—energy independence is back in the spotlight.
Oil prices briefly jumped 6% to a five-month high but then eased as the conflict in the Middle East didn’t disrupt actual oil flows. The push now is on to boost production here at home.


🌍 Ukraine Strikes Russian Oil Depot

In other global news, Ukrainian forces hit a fuel facility in southern Russia, part of a broader effort to slow down Russian troop supplies. This development also plays into the broader energy story, as global oil supply remains a hot topic amid ongoing conflicts.


📉 Market Snapshot

Crude oil prices dropped after the ceasefire news, as traders took a sigh of relief. Still, volatility remains high, and anything affecting the Middle East could quickly swing prices again.

  • Crude: Down $2.61 to $65.90

  • Heating Oil: Down $0.0817 to $2.2814

  • RBOB Gasoline: Down $0.0696 to $2.1486


🔍 Energy Highlights: A Look Ahead

Although oil prices have dipped for now, the bigger picture remains uncertain. Iran’s military losses and potential leadership changes are fueling speculation, while Israel appears more assertive.
Many energy watchers believe the ceasefire may not last, and if it falls apart, we could see oil prices spike again, especially if Iran tries to shut down the Strait of Hormuz. For now, traders seem cautiously optimistic, but everyone’s keeping a close eye on the next move.

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